Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 18.346807 20.889444 23.663482 26.915845 30.626283 34.729514 39.614403
2024-10-27 14.674288 17.961552 21.817846 26.680104 32.654780 39.766856 48.891629
2024-11-03 12.473319 16.299732 21.093201 27.549973 36.039327 46.847998 61.700520
2024-11-10 10.841128 15.063791 20.690294 28.756277 40.061620 55.402793 77.904842
2024-11-17 9.220406 13.574822 19.724576 29.076076 43.002808 63.081780 94.424862
2024-11-24 7.584818 11.791588 18.067643 28.157976 44.073451 68.378172 108.634725
2024-12-01 6.274289 10.270127 16.549417 27.193954 44.927751 73.537558 123.692299
2024-12-08 5.375643 9.242831 15.629220 27.018688 47.016729 81.028867 144.010460
2024-12-15 4.715703 8.498080 15.047901 27.310780 49.956084 90.477871 169.584965
2024-12-22 4.116123 7.755804 14.349137 27.278624 52.332110 99.394492 196.044366
2024-12-29 3.744949 7.366684 14.219496 28.274187 56.809536 113.003425 234.245537
2025-01-05 3.338522 6.840402 13.745698 28.524630 59.893964 124.512890 270.669555
2025-01-12 2.873701 6.132129 12.827496 27.780914 60.965182 132.480309 302.097084
2025-01-19 2.522064 5.597420 12.173610 27.480728 62.951340 142.828678 341.258864
2025-01-26 2.311200 5.331292 12.047493 28.330541 67.708416 160.323399 401.203286
2025-02-02 2.148358 5.145053 12.068196 29.532817 73.565506 181.623848 475.602594
2025-02-09 1.945372 4.828218 11.734630 29.829975 77.307100 198.655968 543.357405
2025-02-16 1.697774 4.357935 10.953054 28.863237 77.661218 207.292455 590.945463
2025-02-23 1.483275 3.932794 10.209654 27.855806 77.720953 215.230695 638.736196
2025-03-02 1.335355 3.655308 9.796664 27.661309 79.995971 229.748674 709.527336
2025-03-09 1.225496 3.461016 9.570568 27.948489 83.728639 249.255838 800.634267
2025-03-16 1.115399 3.246124 9.250698 27.905979 86.498030 266.594150 889.562492
2025-03-23 1.053658 3.159723 9.279443 28.917006 92.743560 295.973369 1026.120088